Irán vs Uzbekistán Estadísticas Cara a Cara y Comparación de Forma

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 54.1 vs 56.3), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, Iran outperforms Uzbekistan with 1.6 goals per match to 0.9, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Iran is far superior, conceding just 0.6 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while Uzbekistan leaks 1.8 goals per match.

Iran has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Uzbekistan has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Iran has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Uzbekistan is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 24.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Iran. In practical terms, Iran would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Iran in this contest. Their superior power rating of 59.5, compared to 35.5 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In their recent Internationals match (2025-11-18), Uzbekistan prevailed 0-0 against Iran. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Uzbekistan secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Iran will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Uzbekistan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.