Inglaterra vs Noruega Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 75.0 vs 66.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

England holds the attacking edge with 2.4 goals per match versus Norway's 1.8, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, England holds the advantage — allowing just 1.2 goals per game against Norway's 1.5.

England has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 3 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Norway has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

England is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.4 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: England is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 24 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📈 Form Momentum: Norway has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. England is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while Norway shows signs of decline with 5W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 29.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for England. In practical terms, England would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

England emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (89.0 vs 59.8) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup (2026-07-11): England defeated Norway 1-2. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates England's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Norway. Notably, England achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Norway shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Norway will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. England will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.