Irã vs Mali Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Context matters here: Iran's schedule strength (SoS: 54.1) has been notably more demanding than Mali's (SoS: 41.2), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Iran leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to Mali's 0.9 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Iran giving up 0.6 and Mali giving up 0.7 per fixture.

Iran has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 1.9 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Iran has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Mali is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 17.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Iran. In practical terms, Iran would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Iran holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 59.5 against 41.8 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In their recent Internationals match (2026-06-04), Iran prevailed 2-0 against Mali. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Iran secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Mali will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Iran will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.