Azerbaijan vs N. Macedonia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 41.5 vs 42.7), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Few sides can match Azerbaijan in front of goal. Their 1.8 average per fixture tells the story, with S. Cəfərzadə driving that output personally responsible for 4 goals this campaign.

Defensively, Azerbaijan is far superior, conceding just 0.7 goals per match with 4 clean sheets, while N. Macedonia leaks 2.9 goals per match.

N. Macedonia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Azerbaijan has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Azerbaijan is a strong road performer with a 83% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.0 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: Azerbaijan is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 18 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

❄️ Form Momentum: N. Macedonia is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 8 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Azerbaijan is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while N. Macedonia shows signs of decline with 2W in last 8.

💡 Why This Matters: The 43.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Azerbaijan. In practical terms, Azerbaijan would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, Azerbaijan emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 64.5 compared to 20.7, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects Azerbaijan as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-06-09): Azerbaijan defeated N. Macedonia 1-3. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Azerbaijan's ability to perform on the biggest stage against N. Macedonia. Notably, Azerbaijan achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against N. Macedonia shows genuine quality and mental strength. N. Macedonia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Azerbaijan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-03-03): Azerbaijan defeated N. Macedonia 2-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Azerbaijan's ability to perform on the biggest stage against N. Macedonia. Azerbaijan secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. N. Macedonia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Azerbaijan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.