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Compare C Palace vs Chelsea

C Palace vs Chelsea Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare C Palace vs Chelsea: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

C Palace C Palace Home Team
Chelsea Chelsea Away Team
C Palace
46.1
L W W L W W L D L D

Last 10 Matches

Chelsea
51.3
W D W L L W L W L D

Performance Radar

C Palace
Chelsea

Categories Won

3

C Palace

3

Draw

9

Chelsea

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

40%

4W, 2D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

+4

+4

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Mateta (3 goals)
João Pedro (7 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 14
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 12
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

57%

4W / 7 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
51.4

League Difficulty: 74.8, Opponent Quality: 61.4

52.1

League Difficulty: 60.9, Opponent Quality: 55.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 4 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.63

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.03

1.91

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.09

Adjusted Power Rating
46.1

Attack: 54.1, Defense: 43.9, Form: 40.6

51.3

Attack: 68.1, Defense: 47.6, Form: 40.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

3
2

46-60'

5

61-75'

3
2

76-90+'

5
C Palace
Chelsea
C Palace

Power Rating Breakdown

46.1

Overall

Attack 54.1
Defense 43.9
Form 40.6
Consistency 44.8
Chelsea

Power Rating Breakdown

51.3

Overall

Attack 68.1
Defense 47.6
Form 40.8
Consistency 44.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

74.8 vs 60.9

Opponent Quality

61.4 vs 55.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
C Palace logo C Palace
L
Everton (73%)
W
Fulham (48%)
W
Ula (43%)
L
Bromley (48%)
W
Swindon (36%)
W
Rayo (56%)
L
Arsenal (78%)
D
Brentford (81%)
Chelsea logo Chelsea
W
Real Sociedad (39%)
D
Darul Ta'zim (50%)
W
AC Milan (42%)
L
Juventus (55%)
L
Spurs (53%)
W
Wanderers (33%)
L
Sunderland (81%)
W
Spurs (74%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Everton A
0 - 2 L
73%
Fulham A
2 - 1 W
48%
Ula H
3 - 1 W
43%
Bromley A
0 - 3 L
48%
Swindon H
5 - 1 W
36%
Rayo H
1 - 0 W
56%
Arsenal H
1 - 2 L
78%
Brentford A
2 - 2 D
81%
Man City A
0 - 3 L
83%
Everton H
2 - 2 D
68%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Real Sociedad H
3 - 1 W
39%
Darul Ta'zim A
3 - 3 D
50%
AC Milan H
3 - 0 W
42%
Juventus H
0 - 1 L
55%
Spurs H
1 - 2 L
53%
Wanderers H
6 - 4 W
33%
Sunderland A
1 - 2 L
81%
Spurs H
2 - 1 W
74%
Man City H
0 - 1 L
57%
Liverpool A
1 - 1 D
72%

AI Analysis

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 51.4 vs 52.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Chelsea leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.0 goals per game compared to C Palace's 1.6 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with C Palace giving up 1.7 and Chelsea giving up 1.6 per fixture.

C Palace has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Chelsea has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.5 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Chelsea faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If C Palace can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 63% win probability for Chelsea. In practical terms, Chelsea would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

Chelsea has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.2-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

C Palace

C Palace

VS
Chelsea

Chelsea

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

C Palace

4W 2D 4L · 16 goals scored · 17 conceded

Chelsea

4W 2D 4L · 20 goals scored · 16 conceded

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