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Compare Forfar vs Annan

Forfar vs Annan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Forfar vs Annan: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Forfar Forfar Home Team
Annan Annan Away Team
Forfar
40.1
W L L L L D W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Annan
26.8
L L L L D L L W L W

Performance Radar

Forfar
Annan

Categories Won

10

Forfar

4

Draw

1

Annan

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

20%

2W, 1D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

2.4

24 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

-15

-15

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
S. Shepherd (3 goals)
A. Smith (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
41.9

League Difficulty: 38.5, Opponent Quality: 44.1

40.7

League Difficulty: 37.2, Opponent Quality: 43.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.13

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.27

0.62

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.28

Adjusted Power Rating
40.1

Attack: 42.9, Defense: 30.6, Form: 46.0

26.8

Attack: 27.2, Defense: 18.1, Form: 18.1

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
3

16-30'

3

31-45'

3

46-60'

2

61-75'

4

76-90+'

5
Forfar
Annan
Forfar

Power Rating Breakdown

40.1

Overall

Attack 42.9
Defense 30.6
Form 46.0
Consistency 38.8
Annan

Power Rating Breakdown

26.8

Overall

Attack 27.2
Defense 18.1
Form 18.1
Consistency 57.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

38.5 vs 37.2

Opponent Quality

44.1 vs 43.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Forfar logo Forfar
W
Brechin (36%)
L
Livingston (53%)
L
Partick (54%)
L
Hamilton (63%)
L
Hamilton (58%)
D
Annan (29%)
W
Edinburgh City (36%)
W
Stranraer (37%)
Annan logo Annan
L
Clyde (49%)
L
Airdrieonians (44%)
L
Dundee (54%)
L
Ross County (53%)
D
Forfar (39%)
L
Clyde (43%)
L
Spartans (32%)
W
Elgin (28%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Brechin H
3 - 1 W
36%
Livingston A
0 - 8 L
53%
Partick H
0 - 4 L
54%
Hamilton A
1 - 2 L
63%
Hamilton H
1 - 3 L
58%
Annan A
1 - 1 D
29%
Edinburgh City H
4 - 0 W
36%
Stranraer A
1 - 0 W
37%
East Kilbride H
1 - 0 W
52%
Elgin H
2 - 1 W
23%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Clyde A
1 - 4 L
49%
Airdrieonians A
0 - 3 L
44%
Dundee H
0 - 5 L
54%
Ross County H
1 - 4 L
53%
Forfar H
1 - 1 D
39%
Clyde A
1 - 3 L
43%
Spartans H
0 - 2 L
32%
Elgin A
3 - 0 W
28%
East Kilbride A
1 - 2 L
57%
Stranraer H
1 - 0 W
32%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 41.9 vs 40.7), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Forfar holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Annan's 0.9, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Forfar's backline outperforms Annan's, with 2.0 goals conceded per match versus 2.4.

Forfar has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Annan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.3 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Forfar has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Annan is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Forfar is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Annan shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Forfar faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.0 goals per match. If Annan can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 13.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 83% win probability for Forfar. In practical terms, Forfar would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Forfar, with a 13.3-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Scottish League Two (2026-05-02). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Forfar

Forfar

VS
Annan

Annan

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Forfar

5W 1D 4L · 14 goals scored · 20 conceded

Annan

2W 1D 7L · 9 goals scored · 24 conceded

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