Radcliffe vs Hereford Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Radcliffe has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 39.2 against considerably stronger competition than Hereford (SoS: 27.1). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Offensively, Hereford outperforms Radcliffe with 1.5 goals per match to 1.1, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Hereford holds the advantage — allowing just 1.5 goals per game against Radcliffe's 2.3.

Radcliffe has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.2 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Radcliffe is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Hereford is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Radcliffe shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Hereford faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Radcliffe can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 71% win probability for Hereford. In practical terms, Hereford would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Hereford holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 8.3-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent National League N / S match (2026-04-18), Hereford prevailed 3-1 against Radcliffe. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Hereford secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Radcliffe will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hereford will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.