Roma vs Cagliari Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Roma vs Cagliari: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Roma
Home Team
Cagliari
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Roma
Draw
Cagliari
Statistical Comparison
6W, 2D, 2L
5W, 4D, 1L
23 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
+8
+3
4 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
2W / 2 matches
3W / 6 matches
4W / 8 matches
2W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 67.5, Opponent Quality: 63.7
League Difficulty: 67.5, Opponent Quality: 57.2
3W / 4 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.21
Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.13
Attack: 90.5, Defense: 59.0, Form: 70.8
Attack: 29.1, Defense: 77.6, Form: 48.5
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Roma
Cagliari
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
Roma has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.0) compared to Cagliari (SoS: 47.0). This means Roma's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.
Roma's attack is on another level, averaging 2.3 goals per match with D. Malen leading the charge (5 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.
Defensively, Cagliari is far superior, conceding just 0.6 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while Roma leaks 1.5 goals per match.
Roma has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 3 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.
Roma has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Statistical modeling projects 2.6 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Roma has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Cagliari has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Roma faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Cagliari can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 19.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Roma. In practical terms, Roma would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers point firmly toward Roma in this contest. Their superior power rating of 70.9, compared to 51.9 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Roma
Cagliari
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Roma
6W 2D 2L · 23 goals scored · 15 conceded
Cagliari
5W 4D 1L · 9 goals scored · 6 conceded
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