Roma vs Cagliari Estadísticas Cara a Cara y Comparación de Forma

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Roma has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.0) compared to Cagliari (SoS: 47.0). This means Roma's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Roma's attack is on another level, averaging 2.3 goals per match with D. Malen leading the charge (5 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Defensively, Cagliari is far superior, conceding just 0.6 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while Roma leaks 1.5 goals per match.

Roma has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 3 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Roma has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 2.6 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Roma has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Cagliari has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Roma faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Cagliari can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 19.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Roma. In practical terms, Roma would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Roma in this contest. Their superior power rating of 70.9, compared to 51.9 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.