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Compare Cardiff Met vs Penybont

Cardiff Met vs Penybont Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Cardiff Met vs Penybont: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Cardiff Met Cardiff Met Home Team
Penybont Penybont Away Team
Cardiff Met
39.0
D D L W W L L D D D

Last 10 Matches

Penybont
30.3
L L W D L L D L L L

Performance Radar

Cardiff Met
Penybont

Categories Won

11

Cardiff Met

2

Draw

2

Penybont

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 5D, 3L

10%

1W, 2D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

0.4

4 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-3

-3

-9

-9

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
L. Mwandwe (3 goals)
C. Venables (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 1 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 2
Home Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
45.4

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 45.6

40.4

League Difficulty: 51.6, Opponent Quality: 56.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.06

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.04

0.39

Actual: 0.4 | Diff: +0.01

Adjusted Power Rating
39.0

Attack: 35.0, Defense: 50.9, Form: 19.1

30.3

Attack: 12.1, Defense: 51.2, Form: 9.0

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

4

46-60'

3

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

1
Cardiff Met
Penybont
Cardiff Met

Power Rating Breakdown

39.0

Overall

Attack 35.0
Defense 50.9
Form 19.1
Consistency 67.3
Penybont

Power Rating Breakdown

30.3

Overall

Attack 12.1
Defense 51.2
Form 9.0
Consistency 74.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 51.6

Opponent Quality

45.6 vs 56.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Cardiff Met logo Cardiff Met
D
Ebbsfleet (54%)
D
Flint Town Utd (45%)
L
Briton Ferry Llansawel (55%)
W
Bala (40%)
W
Llanelli Town (31%)
L
Briton Ferry Llansawel (50%)
L
Haverfordwest (60%)
D
Flint Town Utd (50%)
Penybont logo Penybont
L
FC St. Coloma (76%)
L
FC St. Coloma (75%)
W
Haverfordwest (55%)
D
Colwyn Bay (52%)
L
Caernarfon (48%)
L
Barry Town (56%)
D
Colwyn Bay (48%)
L
Connah's Quay Nomads (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Ebbsfleet A
1 - 1 D
54%
Flint Town Utd H
2 - 2 D
45%
Briton Ferry Llansawel A
1 - 3 L
55%
Bala H
2 - 1 W
40%
Llanelli Town A
2 - 1 W
31%
Briton Ferry Llansawel H
0 - 2 L
50%
Haverfordwest A
0 - 1 L
60%
Flint Town Utd A
1 - 1 D
50%
Llanelli Town H
1 - 1 D
26%
Bala A
1 - 1 D
45%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
FC St. Coloma A
0 - 3 L
76%
FC St. Coloma H
0 - 1 L
75%
Haverfordwest H
2 - 0 W
55%
Colwyn Bay A
0 - 0 D
52%
Caernarfon A
0 - 2 L
48%
Barry Town H
0 - 2 L
56%
Colwyn Bay H
0 - 0 D
48%
Connah's Quay Nomads A
1 - 2 L
47%
TNS H
1 - 2 L
46%
Barry Town A
0 - 1 L
61%

AI Analysis

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 45.4 vs 40.4), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Cardiff Met leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.1 goals per game compared to Penybont's 0.4 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Cardiff Met giving up 1.4 and Penybont giving up 1.3 per fixture.

Cardiff Met has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.1 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: Cardiff Met is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Penybont is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Cardiff Met faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Penybont can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 72% win probability for Cardiff Met. In practical terms, Cardiff Met would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

Cardiff Met has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 8.7-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Cardiff Met

Cardiff Met

VS
Penybont

Penybont

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Cardiff Met

2W 5D 3L · 11 goals scored · 14 conceded

Penybont

1W 2D 7L · 4 goals scored · 13 conceded

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