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Compare Rwanda vs Zimbabwe

Rwanda vs Zimbabwe Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Rwanda vs Zimbabwe: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Rwanda Rwanda Home Team
Zimbabwe Zimbabwe Away Team
Rwanda
43.6
W W L L W L L

Last 10 Matches

Zimbabwe
42.6
W L W W L D L W L L

Performance Radar

Rwanda
Zimbabwe

Categories Won

7

Rwanda

3

Draw

5

Zimbabwe

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
43%

3W, 0D, 4L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.0

7 / 7 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

7 / 7 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

-1

-1

Clean Sheet
43%

3 / 7 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
29%

2 / 7 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
0%

0 / 7 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
L. Mickels (1 goals)
P. Dube (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

67%

2W / 3 matches

Away Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

29%

2W / 7 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
47.3

League Difficulty: 68.6, Opponent Quality: 56.7

46.1

League Difficulty: 67.5, Opponent Quality: 54.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.39

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.39

1.22

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.02

Adjusted Power Rating
43.6

Attack: 32.4, Defense: 64.9, Form: 41.8

42.6

Attack: 38.4, Defense: 54.5, Form: 38.4

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

1
1

46-60'

1

61-75'

2

76-90+'

2
Rwanda
Zimbabwe
Rwanda

Power Rating Breakdown

43.6

Overall

Attack 32.4
Defense 64.9
Form 41.8
Consistency 33.9
Zimbabwe

Power Rating Breakdown

42.6

Overall

Attack 38.4
Defense 54.5
Form 38.4
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

68.6 vs 67.5

Opponent Quality

56.7 vs 54.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Rwanda logo Rwanda
W
Estonia (44%)
W
Grenada (65%)
L
South Africa (54%)
L
Benin (39%)
W
Zimbabwe (54%)
L
Nigeria (69%)
L
Algeria (72%)
Zimbabwe logo Zimbabwe
W
India (62%)
L
Nigeria (77%)
W
Zambia (40%)
W
Botswana (45%)
L
South Africa (43%)
D
Angola (55%)
L
Egypt (55%)
W
Qatar (52%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Estonia H
2 - 0 W
44%
Grenada H
4 - 0 W
65%
South Africa A
0 - 3 L
54%
Benin H
0 - 1 L
39%
Zimbabwe A
1 - 0 W
54%
Nigeria A
0 - 1 L
69%
Algeria A
0 - 2 L
72%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
India H
1 - 0 W
62%
Nigeria A
0 - 2 L
77%
Zambia H
1 - 0 W
40%
Botswana A
3 - 0 W
45%
South Africa H
2 - 3 L
43%
Angola A
1 - 1 D
55%
Egypt A
1 - 2 L
55%
Qatar A
2 - 1 W
52%
Algeria A
1 - 3 L
72%
Lesotho A
0 - 1 L
46%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 47.3 vs 46.1), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Rwanda averaging 1.0 and Zimbabwe averaging 1.2 goals per match.

Rwanda's backline outperforms Zimbabwe's, with 1.0 goals conceded per match versus 1.3.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.2 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Rwanda's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

Statistically, there is very little to choose between these two teams. The numbers point to an evenly contested match where fine details and in-game decisions will likely prove decisive.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - African (2025-09-09): Rwanda defeated Zimbabwe 0-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Rwanda's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Zimbabwe. Notably, Rwanda achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Zimbabwe shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Zimbabwe will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Rwanda will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Rwanda

Rwanda

VS
Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Rwanda

3W 0D 4L · 7 goals scored · 7 conceded

Zimbabwe

4W 1D 5L · 12 goals scored · 13 conceded

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