Penybont vs TNS Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 40.4 vs 44.6), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, TNS outperforms Penybont with 1.2 goals per match to 0.4, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Penybont giving up 1.3 and TNS giving up 1.2 per fixture.

TNS has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

TNS is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.1 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Penybont is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: TNS has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. TNS is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Penybont shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for TNS. In practical terms, TNS would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While TNS holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 14.3-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent Cymru Premier match (2026-03-14), TNS prevailed 1-2 against Penybont. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, TNS achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Penybont shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Penybont will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. TNS will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.