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Compare Gretna vs Tranent

Gretna vs Tranent Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Gretna vs Tranent: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Gretna Gretna Home Team
Tranent Tranent Away Team
Gretna
23.7
L D L L L L L W L D

Last 10 Matches

Tranent
51.0
W W W W L D L D W W

Performance Radar

Gretna
Tranent

Categories Won

3

Gretna

3

Draw

9

Tranent

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 2D, 7L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
3.6

36 / 10 matches

0.7

7 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-24

-24

+10

+10

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
I. Anderson (5 goals)
G. McGarry (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
33.8

League Difficulty: 25.0, Opponent Quality: 39.6

29.8

League Difficulty: 25.0, Opponent Quality: 33.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.0

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.2

1.21

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.49

Adjusted Power Rating
23.7

Attack: 33.5, Defense: 0.0, Form: 8.4

51.0

Attack: 45.2, Defense: 61.2, Form: 47.9

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
4

16-30'

4
1

31-45'

1
1

46-60'

7
1

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

2
Gretna
Tranent
Gretna

Power Rating Breakdown

23.7

Overall

Attack 33.5
Defense 0.0
Form 8.4
Consistency 74.5
Tranent

Power Rating Breakdown

51.0

Overall

Attack 45.2
Defense 61.2
Form 47.9
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

25.0 vs 25.0

Opponent Quality

39.6 vs 33.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Gretna logo Gretna
L
Clydebank (63%)
D
Cumbernauld C. (38%)
L
Kilwinning (37%)
L
Troon (38%)
L
Gala (32%)
L
Berwick (35%)
L
Cumbernauld C. (43%)
W
Cowdenbeath (34%)
Tranent logo Tranent
W
East Stirling (35%)
W
Stirling Unv (17%)
W
Linlithgow (38%)
W
Broxburn Ath. (33%)
L
Braves (48%)
D
Berwick (40%)
L
Linlithgow (38%)
D
Bo'ness Utd (38%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Clydebank A
1 - 7 L
63%
Cumbernauld C. H
3 - 3 D
38%
Kilwinning H
1 - 5 L
37%
Troon A
1 - 4 L
38%
Gala A
0 - 3 L
32%
Berwick H
2 - 7 L
35%
Cumbernauld C. A
1 - 3 L
43%
Cowdenbeath H
2 - 1 W
34%
Albion A
0 - 2 L
46%
East Stirling H
1 - 1 D
30%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
East Stirling A
3 - 0 W
35%
Stirling Unv A
2 - 1 W
17%
Linlithgow H
1 - 0 W
38%
Broxburn Ath. H
3 - 0 W
33%
Braves A
0 - 3 L
48%
Berwick A
0 - 0 D
40%
Linlithgow H
0 - 1 L
38%
Bo'ness Utd H
1 - 1 D
38%
Gala H
2 - 1 W
26%
Stirling Unv A
5 - 0 W
17%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 33.8 vs 29.8), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Tranent holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Gretna's 1.2, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Tranent is far superior, conceding just 0.7 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Gretna leaks 3.6 goals per match.

Gretna has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Tranent has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Tranent is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.6 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Gretna is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Tranent has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Tranent is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Gretna shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 27.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Tranent. In practical terms, Tranent would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Tranent in this contest. Their superior power rating of 51.0, compared to 23.7 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Gretna

Gretna

VS
Tranent

Tranent

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Gretna

1W 2D 7L · 12 goals scored · 36 conceded

Tranent

6W 2D 2L · 17 goals scored · 7 conceded

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